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Bank of Canada Interest Rate History 2026 | Historical Rates Chart

Updated

Current Rate

Metric Value
Current target overnight rate 2.25% (effective October 30, 2025)
Bank Rate 2.5% (effective October 30, 2025)
Cycle peak (since 2009) 5% (reached July 13, 2023)
Next scheduled announcement September 2, 2026

Source: Bank of Canada Valet API, series V39079 (target rate) and BR.CDN (Bank Rate), fetched 2026-09-02, as of September 1, 2026.

For the full 2026 announcement calendar, see the Bank of Canada rate announcement schedule.

Full Rate Change History (2009–Present)

Date Decision Policy Rate Change
April 21, 2009 Data begins 0.25%
June 1, 2010 Hike 0.5% +0.25%
July 20, 2010 Hike 0.75% +0.25%
September 8, 2010 Hike 1% +0.25%
January 21, 2015 Cut 0.75% -0.25%
July 15, 2015 Cut 0.5% -0.25%
July 12, 2017 Hike 0.75% +0.25%
September 6, 2017 Hike 1% +0.25%
January 17, 2018 Hike 1.25% +0.25%
July 11, 2018 Hike 1.5% +0.25%
October 24, 2018 Hike 1.75% +0.25%
March 4, 2020 Cut 1.25% -0.5%
March 16, 2020 Cut 0.75% -0.5%
March 27, 2020 Cut 0.25% -0.5%
March 3, 2022 Hike 0.5% +0.25%
April 14, 2022 Hike 1% +0.5%
June 2, 2022 Hike 1.5% +0.5%
July 14, 2022 Hike 2.5% +1%
September 8, 2022 Hike 3.25% +0.75%
October 27, 2022 Hike 3.75% +0.5%
December 8, 2022 Hike 4.25% +0.5%
January 26, 2023 Hike 4.5% +0.25%
June 8, 2023 Hike 4.75% +0.25%
July 13, 2023 Hike 5% +0.25%
June 6, 2024 Cut 4.75% -0.25%
July 25, 2024 Cut 4.5% -0.25%
September 5, 2024 Cut 4.25% -0.25%
October 24, 2024 Cut 3.75% -0.5%
December 12, 2024 Cut 3.25% -0.5%
January 30, 2025 Cut 3% -0.25%
March 13, 2025 Cut 2.75% -0.25%
September 18, 2025 Cut 2.5% -0.25%
October 30, 2025 Cut 2.25% -0.25%

Source: Bank of Canada Valet API, series V39079 (“Target for the overnight rate”), fetched 2026-09-02. Valet API serves V39079 only from 2009-04-21 onward; earlier history is not pipeline-sourced.

Historical Rate Timeline (2015-2026)

Year Start Rate End Rate Direction Key Events
2015 1.00% 0.50% 2 cuts Oil price crash
2016 0.50% 0.50% No change Steady recovery
2017 0.50% 1.00% 2 hikes Growth returned
2018 1.00% 1.75% 3 hikes Strong economy
2019 1.75% 1.75% No change Trade uncertainty
2020 1.75% 0.25% 3 emergency cuts COVID-19 pandemic
2021 0.25% 0.25% No change Recovery, inflation rising
2022 0.25% 4.25% 7 hikes Aggressive inflation fight
2023 4.25% 5.00% 3 hikes Rate peaked at 5.00%
2024 5.00% 3.25% 5 cuts Inflation cooling
2025 3.25% 2.25% 4 cuts Easing continued through October
2026 (to Sep) 2.25% 2.25% No change to date Held at every 2026 meeting amid energy-price and trade uncertainty

Historical Rate Milestones

Period Rate Range Context
1980-1981 17-21% Highest rates ever — inflation crisis
1990-1991 11-14% Recession
1996-2000 3-5.5% Goldilocks period
2001-2002 2-4.5% Dot-com bust, 9/11
2009-2010 0.25-1.00% Global financial crisis
2015-2017 0.50-1.00% Oil crash, slow recovery
2020-2022 0.25% COVID-19 emergency low
2022-2023 0.25-5.00% Fastest tightening in history
2024-2026 5.00-2.25% Easing cycle, on hold since October 2025

How Rate Changes Affect You

Borrowers (Rates Go Up = You Pay More)

Product Rate Tied To Impact of 0.25% Hike
Variable rate mortgage ($500K) Prime rate +$72/month
HELOC ($100K balance) Prime rate +$21/month
Variable personal loan ($20K) Prime rate +$4/month
Fixed mortgage (new) Bond yields Indirect, usually follows
Credit card Usually fixed Minimal change

Savers (Rates Go Up = You Earn More)

Product Rate Tied To Impact of 0.25% Hike
HISA ($50K balance) Bank policy +$125/year potential
1-year GIC ($50K) BoC rate + spread +$100-$125/year potential
TFSA savings ($50K) Bank policy +$125/year potential
Money market funds Short-term rates +0.20-0.25% yield increase

Key Relationships

Rate Change Prime Rate Variable Mortgage HISA Rate GIC Rate
BoC cuts 0.25% Drops 0.25% Decreases ~0.25% Decreases ~0.10-0.25% Decreases ~0.15-0.25%
BoC hikes 0.25% Rises 0.25% Increases ~0.25% Increases ~0.10-0.25% Increases ~0.15-0.25%

Prime Rate History

Effective Date Prime Rate Change
October 30, 2025 4.45% -0.25%
September 18, 2025 4.70% -0.25%
March 13, 2025 4.95% -0.25%
January 30, 2025 5.20% -0.25%
December 12, 2024 5.45% -0.5%
October 24, 2024 5.95% -0.5%
September 5, 2024 6.45% -0.25%
July 25, 2024 6.70% -0.25%
June 6, 2024 6.95% -0.25%
July 13, 2023 7.20% +0.25%
June 8, 2023 6.95% +0.25%
January 26, 2023 6.70% +0.25%
December 8, 2022 6.45% +0.5%
October 27, 2022 5.95% +0.5%
September 8, 2022 5.45% +0.75%
July 14, 2022 4.70% +1%
June 2, 2022 3.70% +0.5%
April 14, 2022 3.20% +0.5%
March 3, 2022 2.70% +0.25%
March 27, 2020 2.45% -0.5%
March 16, 2020 2.95% -0.5%
March 4, 2020 3.45% -0.5%
October 24, 2018 3.95% +0.25%
July 11, 2018 3.70% +0.25%
January 17, 2018 3.45% +0.25%
September 6, 2017 3.20% +0.25%
July 12, 2017 2.95% +0.25%
July 15, 2015 2.70% -0.25%
January 21, 2015 2.95% -0.25%
September 8, 2010 3.20% +0.25%
July 20, 2010 2.95% +0.25%
June 1, 2010 2.70% +0.25%
April 21, 2009 2.45%

Prime rate = Bank of Canada overnight rate + the industry-standard 2.2% spread, applied to each historical rate change. Overnight rate history: Bank of Canada Valet API, series V39079, fetched 2026-09-02.

Formula: Prime rate = BoC policy rate + 2.20% (this spread holds almost always)

How Rate Decisions Are Made

Factor What BoC Watches
CPI Inflation Target: 2% (1-3% control range)
Core inflation (CPI-trim, CPI-median) Strips out volatile items
GDP growth Economic output and trends
Employment Unemployment rate, job creation
Housing market Prices, sales, construction
Consumer spending Retail sales, household debt
Global factors US Federal Reserve, oil prices, trade
CAD exchange rate Impact on imports/exports

BoC Rate vs US Federal Reserve

Date BoC Policy Rate US Fed Funds Rate Spread
March 2025 2.75% 4.25-4.50% -1.50%
December 2024 3.25% 4.25-4.50% -1.00%
June 2024 4.75% 5.25-5.50% -0.50%
July 2023 5.00% 5.25-5.50% -0.25%
March 2022 0.50% 0.25-0.50% +0.00%
March 2020 0.25% 0.00-0.25% +0.00%

If Canada’s rate is much lower than the US rate, it can put downward pressure on the Canadian dollar, making imports more expensive.

What Analysts Expect

These are general market expectations and not investment advice. Actual decisions depend on economic data.

Factor Direction
Inflation trend Moving toward 2% target
Economic growth Slowing but positive
Housing market Sensitive to rate changes
General expectation Gradual further easing possible
Neutral rate estimate 2.25-3.25%