Current Rate
Metric
Value
Current target overnight rate
2.25% (effective October 30, 2025)
Bank Rate
2.5% (effective October 30, 2025)
Cycle peak (since 2009)
5% (reached July 13, 2023)
Next scheduled announcement
September 2, 2026
Source: Bank of Canada Valet API, series V39079 (target rate) and BR.CDN (Bank Rate), fetched 2026-09-02, as of September 1, 2026.
For the full 2026 announcement calendar, see the Bank of Canada rate announcement schedule .
Full Rate Change History (2009–Present)
Date
Decision
Policy Rate
Change
April 21, 2009
Data begins
0.25%
—
June 1, 2010
Hike
0.5%
+0.25%
July 20, 2010
Hike
0.75%
+0.25%
September 8, 2010
Hike
1%
+0.25%
January 21, 2015
Cut
0.75%
-0.25%
July 15, 2015
Cut
0.5%
-0.25%
July 12, 2017
Hike
0.75%
+0.25%
September 6, 2017
Hike
1%
+0.25%
January 17, 2018
Hike
1.25%
+0.25%
July 11, 2018
Hike
1.5%
+0.25%
October 24, 2018
Hike
1.75%
+0.25%
March 4, 2020
Cut
1.25%
-0.5%
March 16, 2020
Cut
0.75%
-0.5%
March 27, 2020
Cut
0.25%
-0.5%
March 3, 2022
Hike
0.5%
+0.25%
April 14, 2022
Hike
1%
+0.5%
June 2, 2022
Hike
1.5%
+0.5%
July 14, 2022
Hike
2.5%
+1%
September 8, 2022
Hike
3.25%
+0.75%
October 27, 2022
Hike
3.75%
+0.5%
December 8, 2022
Hike
4.25%
+0.5%
January 26, 2023
Hike
4.5%
+0.25%
June 8, 2023
Hike
4.75%
+0.25%
July 13, 2023
Hike
5%
+0.25%
June 6, 2024
Cut
4.75%
-0.25%
July 25, 2024
Cut
4.5%
-0.25%
September 5, 2024
Cut
4.25%
-0.25%
October 24, 2024
Cut
3.75%
-0.5%
December 12, 2024
Cut
3.25%
-0.5%
January 30, 2025
Cut
3%
-0.25%
March 13, 2025
Cut
2.75%
-0.25%
September 18, 2025
Cut
2.5%
-0.25%
October 30, 2025
Cut
2.25%
-0.25%
Source: Bank of Canada Valet API, series V39079 (“Target for the overnight rate”), fetched 2026-09-02. Valet API serves V39079 only from 2009-04-21 onward; earlier history is not pipeline-sourced.
Historical Rate Timeline (2015-2026)
Year
Start Rate
End Rate
Direction
Key Events
2015
1.00%
0.50%
2 cuts
Oil price crash
2016
0.50%
0.50%
No change
Steady recovery
2017
0.50%
1.00%
2 hikes
Growth returned
2018
1.00%
1.75%
3 hikes
Strong economy
2019
1.75%
1.75%
No change
Trade uncertainty
2020
1.75%
0.25%
3 emergency cuts
COVID-19 pandemic
2021
0.25%
0.25%
No change
Recovery, inflation rising
2022
0.25%
4.25%
7 hikes
Aggressive inflation fight
2023
4.25%
5.00%
3 hikes
Rate peaked at 5.00%
2024
5.00%
3.25%
5 cuts
Inflation cooling
2025
3.25%
2.25%
4 cuts
Easing continued through October
2026 (to Sep)
2.25%
2.25%
No change to date
Held at every 2026 meeting amid energy-price and trade uncertainty
Historical Rate Milestones
Period
Rate Range
Context
1980-1981
17-21%
Highest rates ever — inflation crisis
1990-1991
11-14%
Recession
1996-2000
3-5.5%
Goldilocks period
2001-2002
2-4.5%
Dot-com bust, 9/11
2009-2010
0.25-1.00%
Global financial crisis
2015-2017
0.50-1.00%
Oil crash, slow recovery
2020-2022
0.25%
COVID-19 emergency low
2022-2023
0.25-5.00%
Fastest tightening in history
2024-2026
5.00-2.25%
Easing cycle, on hold since October 2025
How Rate Changes Affect You
Borrowers (Rates Go Up = You Pay More)
Product
Rate Tied To
Impact of 0.25% Hike
Variable rate mortgage ($500K)
Prime rate
+$72/month
HELOC ($100K balance)
Prime rate
+$21/month
Variable personal loan ($20K)
Prime rate
+$4/month
Fixed mortgage (new)
Bond yields
Indirect, usually follows
Credit card
Usually fixed
Minimal change
Savers (Rates Go Up = You Earn More)
Product
Rate Tied To
Impact of 0.25% Hike
HISA ($50K balance)
Bank policy
+$125/year potential
1-year GIC ($50K)
BoC rate + spread
+$100-$125/year potential
TFSA savings ($50K)
Bank policy
+$125/year potential
Money market funds
Short-term rates
+0.20-0.25% yield increase
Key Relationships
Rate Change
Prime Rate
Variable Mortgage
HISA Rate
GIC Rate
BoC cuts 0.25%
Drops 0.25%
Decreases ~0.25%
Decreases ~0.10-0.25%
Decreases ~0.15-0.25%
BoC hikes 0.25%
Rises 0.25%
Increases ~0.25%
Increases ~0.10-0.25%
Increases ~0.15-0.25%
Prime Rate History
Effective Date
Prime Rate
Change
October 30, 2025
4.45%
-0.25%
September 18, 2025
4.70%
-0.25%
March 13, 2025
4.95%
-0.25%
January 30, 2025
5.20%
-0.25%
December 12, 2024
5.45%
-0.5%
October 24, 2024
5.95%
-0.5%
September 5, 2024
6.45%
-0.25%
July 25, 2024
6.70%
-0.25%
June 6, 2024
6.95%
-0.25%
July 13, 2023
7.20%
+0.25%
June 8, 2023
6.95%
+0.25%
January 26, 2023
6.70%
+0.25%
December 8, 2022
6.45%
+0.5%
October 27, 2022
5.95%
+0.5%
September 8, 2022
5.45%
+0.75%
July 14, 2022
4.70%
+1%
June 2, 2022
3.70%
+0.5%
April 14, 2022
3.20%
+0.5%
March 3, 2022
2.70%
+0.25%
March 27, 2020
2.45%
-0.5%
March 16, 2020
2.95%
-0.5%
March 4, 2020
3.45%
-0.5%
October 24, 2018
3.95%
+0.25%
July 11, 2018
3.70%
+0.25%
January 17, 2018
3.45%
+0.25%
September 6, 2017
3.20%
+0.25%
July 12, 2017
2.95%
+0.25%
July 15, 2015
2.70%
-0.25%
January 21, 2015
2.95%
-0.25%
September 8, 2010
3.20%
+0.25%
July 20, 2010
2.95%
+0.25%
June 1, 2010
2.70%
+0.25%
April 21, 2009
2.45%
—
Prime rate = Bank of Canada overnight rate + the industry-standard 2.2% spread, applied to each historical rate change. Overnight rate history: Bank of Canada Valet API, series V39079, fetched 2026-09-02.
Formula: Prime rate = BoC policy rate + 2.20% (this spread holds almost always)
How Rate Decisions Are Made
Factor
What BoC Watches
CPI Inflation
Target: 2% (1-3% control range)
Core inflation (CPI-trim, CPI-median)
Strips out volatile items
GDP growth
Economic output and trends
Employment
Unemployment rate, job creation
Housing market
Prices, sales, construction
Consumer spending
Retail sales, household debt
Global factors
US Federal Reserve, oil prices, trade
CAD exchange rate
Impact on imports/exports
BoC Rate vs US Federal Reserve
Date
BoC Policy Rate
US Fed Funds Rate
Spread
March 2025
2.75%
4.25-4.50%
-1.50%
December 2024
3.25%
4.25-4.50%
-1.00%
June 2024
4.75%
5.25-5.50%
-0.50%
July 2023
5.00%
5.25-5.50%
-0.25%
March 2022
0.50%
0.25-0.50%
+0.00%
March 2020
0.25%
0.00-0.25%
+0.00%
If Canada’s rate is much lower than the US rate , it can put downward pressure on the Canadian dollar, making imports more expensive.
What Analysts Expect
These are general market expectations and not investment advice. Actual decisions depend on economic data.
Factor
Direction
Inflation trend
Moving toward 2% target
Economic growth
Slowing but positive
Housing market
Sensitive to rate changes
General expectation
Gradual further easing possible
Neutral rate estimate
2.25-3.25%
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice. Information may be simplified, incomplete, or out of date. Consult a licensed mortgage broker, financial advisor, or other qualified professional before making financial decisions. WealthNorth may receive compensation from partners featured on this site — this does not influence our editorial content. See our privacy policy for details.