Niagara Region Housing Market Report — March 2026
The Niagara Region encompasses 12 municipalities along the Niagara Peninsula between Lake Ontario and Lake Erie, with a combined population of approximately 450,000. The region’s major urban centres include St. Catharines (the regional seat, pop. ~136,000), Niagara Falls (pop. ~92,000 in the city; far more including the tourism district), Welland, Fort Erie, Grimsby, Lincoln, and Thorold. Niagara is connected to Hamilton and the Greater Golden Horseshoe by the QEW highway, and offers GO Bus service to Burlington GO and Union Station.
Historically one of Ontario’s most affordable markets, the Niagara Region saw surge pricing in 2021–2022 before correcting back to more accessible levels. March 2026 pricing reflects continued adjustment from that peak.
Key Highlights — March 2026 (Niagara Association of REALTORS® / CREA):
- Average home price: $621,944 (-8.1% YoY)
- MLS HPI composite benchmark: $580,800 (-6.2% YoY)
- Total sales: 470 (-6.4% YoY)
- New listings: 1,382 (-9.7% YoY)
- Active listings: 2,782 (-9.8% YoY)
- Months of supply: 5.9 (buyer’s market)
- Ontario LTT applies (no municipal LTT in any Niagara municipality)
Niagara Region Home Prices — March 2026
| Home Type | Benchmark Price | Year-over-Year Change |
|---|---|---|
| Composite | $580,800 | -6.2% |
| Single-Family | $606,600 | -6.1% |
| Townhouse/Row | $527,200 | -8.7% |
| Apartment | $357,200 | -8.4% |
The average sale price across all property types was $621,944 in March 2026, down 8.1% from March 2025. The year-to-date average was $620,966 (-7.2% YoY).
Home Prices by Type — Niagara Region (Approx.)
| Home Type | Price Range |
|---|---|
| Detached | $550,000–$900,000 |
| Semi-Detached | $420,000–$580,000 |
| Townhouse (freehold) | $430,000–$580,000 |
| Condo Townhouse | $360,000–$480,000 |
| Condo Apartment | $290,000–$400,000 |
Market Metrics — March 2026
| Metric | Value | Year-over-Year Change |
|---|---|---|
| Total Sales | 470 | -6.4% |
| New Listings | 1,382 | -9.7% |
| Active Listings | 2,782 | -9.8% |
| Months of Supply | 5.9 | -0.2 months |
| Sales-to-New-Listings Ratio | 34% | — |
| Average Price | $621,944 | -8.1% |
| HPI Composite Benchmark | $580,800 | -6.2% |
| Dollar Volume | $292.3M | -14.0% |
With 5.9 months of supply and a SNLR of 34%, Niagara is firmly in buyer’s market territory. Active listings are elevated (+22.6% above the 5-year average), but have started to ease from their peak (-9.8% YoY). Sales remain well below historical norms (-27.6% below 5-year average).
Income Required to Buy in Niagara Region
Assumptions: 20% down payment, 4.04% mortgage rate, 25-year amortization, GDS ratio of 32%, property tax $354/month, heating $150/month.
| Home Type | Price | Mortgage (80%) | Income Required |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regional Average | $621,944 | $497,555 | $138,750 |
| Single-Family (benchmark) | $606,600 | $485,280 | $135,788 |
| Townhouse (benchmark) | $527,200 | $421,760 | $120,488 |
| Apartment (benchmark) | $357,200 | $285,760 | $87,713 |
Key Trends — Niagara Region March 2026
Affordability Relative to GTA: With a regional average of $621,944, the Niagara Region represents one of the most affordable options for buyers wanting a full-service community within driving distance of the GTA and Hamilton. Families commuting via QEW to Hamilton (30–45 min) or Burlington (45–60 min) often find a $100k–$200k purchase price advantage versus buying in those markets.
Buyer’s Market Across the Region: With 5.9 months of supply and a SNLR of 34%, Niagara is firmly in buyer’s market territory. Active listings remain 22.6% above the 5-year average despite starting to ease from their spring 2025 peak. Days-on-market have risen, conditional offers are routine, and price negotiation is common in most sub-markets.
Grimsby / Lincoln Premium: The western end of Niagara Region (Grimsby, Lincoln, Beamsville) trades at a significant premium to the rest of Niagara, driven by proximity to Burlington and Hamilton, lakefront access on Lake Ontario, and the boutique wine country of the Niagara Escarpment. These communities see stronger competition and faster sales.
Tourism Economy (Niagara Falls): Niagara Falls city itself has one of Canada’s most significant hospitality and tourism sectors. The permanent population benefits from a large Airbnb and short-term rental market, particularly for properties near Clifton Hill and the Fallsview District. This creates an active investor sub-market alongside owner-occupier demand.
Wine Country — Niagara-on-the-Lake (Not tabulated above): Niagara-on-the-Lake (NOTL) is a small town at the north tip of the peninsularly with some of Canada’s finest estate wineries and historic heritage streetscapes. Properties here trade at a significant premium — detached from $900k to $2.0M+. NOTL is treated separately from the regional average above.
GO Transit Development: The GO Bus service to Burlington GO is the current transit link, but Metrolinx has studied rail restoration on the CN Grimsby Sub to Niagara Falls. News of expanded transit service could materially support demand in the $500k–$700k range.
Notable Neighbourhoods
St. Catharines — Downtown / Merritton: Urban core with walkable amenities, revitalizing restaurant strip on St. Paul Street. Growing condo development. Heritage-era homes at below-GTA prices. Condos $280k–$400k; detached $450k–$750k.
St. Catharines — Glendale / Vansickle: Western suburban area near Pen Centre, Brock University, and the Welland Canal corridor. Mix of semis and detached. Detached $500k–$750k.
Niagara Falls — Lundy’s Lane / Chippawa: Established residential neighbourhoods away from the hotel strip. Family-oriented. Detached $500k–$750k.
Niagara Falls — Stamford / Willoughby: Southeast Niagara Falls near the QEW. Growing development area, strong school access. Detached $540k–$800k.
Welland: One of the region’s most affordable cities. Situated along the Welland Canal (designated cycling trail). Mixed housing stock from $330k condo to $600k detached.
Fort Erie: Adjacent to the Peace Bridge (Buffalo, NY crossing). Attractive to cross-border commuters and buyers from the US. Affordable detached from $380k–$550k.
Grimsby: One of the fastest-growing towns in the region. Lakefront access on Lake Ontario, strong new subdivision activity, commutable to Hamilton and Burlington. Detached $650k–$900k.
Pelham / Fonthill: One of Niagara’s premium small communities. Agricultural and residential mix, low density, Niagara Escarpment trail access. Premium detached $700k–$1.0M.
Ontario Land Transfer Tax — Niagara
Ontario LTT on a $621,944 home:
| Portion | Rate | Tax |
|---|---|---|
| First $55,000 | 0.5% | $275 |
| $55,001–$250,000 | 1.0% | $1,950 |
| $250,001–$400,000 | 1.5% | $2,250 |
| $400,001–$621,944 | 2.0% | $4,439 |
| Total | ≈ $8,914 |
First-time buyers may qualify for the Ontario LTT refund of up to $4,000.
No Niagara municipality levies an additional municipal land transfer tax.
Related Calculators & Tools
- Mortgage Affordability Calculator
- Land Transfer Tax Calculator
- CMHC Mortgage Insurance Calculator
- Hamilton Housing Market
- Toronto Housing Market
- Ontario Housing Market — provincial overview
- Canada Housing Market — national overview
Data Sources
- Niagara Association of REALTORS® (NAR) / CREA — March 2026
- Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) — Board Statistics (stca)
- Data period: March 1–31, 2026