Canadian Mortgage Debt Statistics (2026): How Much Canadians Owe
Updated
Canada has one of the highest levels of household mortgage debt in the developed world. Understanding the data — how much Canadians owe, who owes it, and what risks that creates — is essential for anyone making mortgage decisions.
Total mortgage debt outstanding
The headline number
Year
Total Residential Mortgage Debt
Annual Growth
2005
$650 billion
—
2010
$1.01 trillion
~8% per year
2015
$1.30 trillion
~5% per year
2019
$1.56 trillion
~4% per year
2020
$1.68 trillion
+7.7% (COVID stimulus)
2021
$1.87 trillion
+11.3% (record home sales)
2022
$2.01 trillion
+7.5%
2023
$2.07 trillion
+3.0% (slowdown from rate hikes)
2024
$2.10 trillion
+1.5% (rates elevated)
2025
$2.14 trillion
+1.9%
2026 (est.)
$2.18 trillion
~2% (gradual recovery)
Sources: Bank of Canada, CMHC, Statistics Canada. 2026 is an estimate based on growth trends.
Growth in context
Mortgage debt has more than tripled since 2005. The key drivers:
Driver
Contribution
Home price appreciation
Largest factor — average home price doubled from 2005 to 2025
Population growth
Canada’s population grew from 32M to 41M
Longer amortizations
30-year amortization availability increased average balance
Investor activity
Growing investor share means more mortgages per buyer cohort
Low rates (2009–2022)
Made larger mortgages affordable, encouraging price growth
Average mortgage balance
National average
Metric
Amount (2026 est.)
Average outstanding mortgage balance
~$280,000
Average new mortgage (2025 originations)
~$375,000
Median outstanding mortgage balance
~$240,000
Average insured mortgage (new)
~$320,000
Average uninsured mortgage (new)
~$430,000
By province
Province
Average Outstanding Balance (approx.)
Average New Mortgage (approx.)
British Columbia
$380,000
$500,000+
Ontario
$350,000
$470,000
Alberta
$260,000
$340,000
Quebec
$210,000
$290,000
Manitoba
$190,000
$260,000
Saskatchewan
$185,000
$250,000
Nova Scotia
$195,000
$280,000
New Brunswick
$160,000
$230,000
Newfoundland
$155,000
$220,000
PEI
$170,000
$250,000
The gap between “average outstanding” and “average new mortgage” reflects that the outstanding stock includes older, smaller mortgages, while new originations reflect current home prices.
Household debt ratios
Debt-to-disposable-income
Canada’s headline household debt ratio:
Year
Debt-to-Disposable Income
Context
2000
110%
Pre-housing boom
2005
130%
Housing market accelerating
2010
161%
Post-GFC, rates at historic lows
2015
171%
Steady climb
2019
176%
Pre-pandemic
2021
181%
Peaked — massive housing activity
2023
177%
Declined slightly as rate hikes slowed borrowing
2025
175%
Stabilizing
2026 (est.)
175%–180%
Depends on rate trajectory and income growth
International comparison
Country
Household Debt-to-Disposable Income
Switzerland
~210%
Australia
~190%
Canada
~175%
South Korea
~170%
United Kingdom
~145%
United States
~100%
Germany
~85%
Canada ranks among the most indebted households in the developed world. The US deleveraged significantly after the 2008 crisis — Canada did not.
Mortgage debt service ratio
The debt service ratio (DSR) measures the share of household income going to mortgage payments:
The fixed-rate share surged after the 2022–2023 rate hiking cycle. Variable-rate share was over 55% in 2021 when rates were at historic lows.
By insurance status
Status
Share of Outstanding Mortgages
Insured (CMHC, Sagen, Canada Guaranty)
~35%
Uninsured
~65%
The uninsured share has grown as rising home prices push more buyers above the insured purchase price cap (now $1.5M).
Mortgage renewal wall
One of the most significant data points for 2025–2027 is the “renewal wall” — the volume of mortgages that were originated at ultra-low rates (2020–2021) now coming up for renewal at much higher rates.
Renewal volume
Renewal Year
Estimated Volume
Average Rate When Originated
Current Renewal Rate
Payment Increase
2025
~$400 billion
2.0%–3.0% (5-yr fixed)
4.0%–5.0%
+25%–40%
2026
~$450 billion (peak)
1.5%–2.5% (5-yr fixed)
3.5%–4.5%
+30%–50%
2027
~$350 billion
2.0%–3.5% (5-yr fixed)
3.5%–5.0%
+15%–35%
Payment shock example
Mortgage
Original (2021)
Renewal (2026)
Change
Balance
$400,000
$360,000 (after 5 years of payments)
−$40,000
Rate
2.14% (5-yr fixed)
4.39% (5-yr fixed)
+2.25%
Monthly payment
$1,722
$1,977
+$255/month (+15%)
Annual cost increase
—
+$3,060/year
—
For borrowers who took variable-rate mortgages in 2021 at ~1.5% and now renew at 4%+, the shock is larger.
Mortgage debt and home equity
While debt levels are high, Canadians also hold significant home equity:
Metric
Amount (2026 est.)
Total residential real estate value
~$7.5 trillion
Total mortgage debt
~$2.18 trillion
Total home equity
~$5.3 trillion
Average equity per homeowner
~$530,000
Average loan-to-value (outstanding mortgages)
~50%
The average Canadian homeowner with a mortgage has substantial equity — the risk is concentrated among recent buyers who purchased at peak prices with minimum down payments.
Equity distribution
Equity Level
Share of Mortgage Holders (est.)
75%+ equity (LTV under 25%)
~30% (long-term owners)
50–75% equity (LTV 25–50%)
~25%
25–50% equity (LTV 50–75%)
~25%
Under 25% equity (LTV 75–95%)
~15% (recent buyers)
Negative equity (LTV over 100%)
~5% (concentrated in weakest markets)
Risk indicators to watch
Indicator
Current Level
Risk Threshold
Status
Household debt-to-income
~175%
>200% = elevated systemic risk
Elevated but stable
Mortgage DSR
~6.5–7.0%
>10% = severe stress
Manageable
Mortgage arrears rate
~0.20%
>0.5% = rising stress
Very low
Housing price-to-income ratio
~7–8x (national avg)
Historical norm: 3–5x
Significantly elevated
Price-to-rent ratio
~25–30x (major cities)
International norm: 15–20x
Elevated
Investor share of purchases
~25–30%
>30% = speculative risk
Worth monitoring
Key data sources
Source
What It Publishes
Frequency
Bank of Canada
Total household credit, mortgage credit, financial stability review
Monthly (credit), biannual (FSR)
CMHC
Mortgage data, housing starts, arrears, HPI
Monthly and quarterly
Statistics Canada
National balance sheet, debt-to-income, wealth survey
Quarterly
OSFI
Regulated lender mortgage data, capital adequacy
Quarterly
Canadian Bankers Association
Mortgage arrears data
Monthly
CREA
Home sales, prices (MLS HPI)
Monthly
The bottom line
Canada has $2.18 trillion in mortgage debt — the largest household liability by far
Debt ratios are among the highest globally — ~175% of disposable income
The renewal wall is the near-term risk — $450B+ renewing in 2026 at sharply higher rates
Home equity provides a buffer — $5.3 trillion in equity means most homeowners are not at risk
Risk is concentrated — recent buyers with high LTV in expensive markets face the most pressure
Arrears remain very low — Canadian mortgage borrowers have been remarkably resilient