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Canadian Mortgage Debt Statistics (2026): How Much Canadians Owe

Updated

Canada has one of the highest levels of household mortgage debt in the developed world. Understanding the data — how much Canadians owe, who owes it, and what risks that creates — is essential for anyone making mortgage decisions.

Total mortgage debt outstanding

The headline number

YearTotal Residential Mortgage DebtAnnual Growth
2005$650 billion
2010$1.01 trillion~8% per year
2015$1.30 trillion~5% per year
2019$1.56 trillion~4% per year
2020$1.68 trillion+7.7% (COVID stimulus)
2021$1.87 trillion+11.3% (record home sales)
2022$2.01 trillion+7.5%
2023$2.07 trillion+3.0% (slowdown from rate hikes)
2024$2.10 trillion+1.5% (rates elevated)
2025$2.14 trillion+1.9%
2026 (est.)$2.18 trillion~2% (gradual recovery)

Sources: Bank of Canada, CMHC, Statistics Canada. 2026 is an estimate based on growth trends.

Growth in context

Mortgage debt has more than tripled since 2005. The key drivers:

DriverContribution
Home price appreciationLargest factor — average home price doubled from 2005 to 2025
Population growthCanada’s population grew from 32M to 41M
Longer amortizations30-year amortization availability increased average balance
Investor activityGrowing investor share means more mortgages per buyer cohort
Low rates (2009–2022)Made larger mortgages affordable, encouraging price growth

Average mortgage balance

National average

MetricAmount (2026 est.)
Average outstanding mortgage balance~$280,000
Average new mortgage (2025 originations)~$375,000
Median outstanding mortgage balance~$240,000
Average insured mortgage (new)~$320,000
Average uninsured mortgage (new)~$430,000

By province

ProvinceAverage Outstanding Balance (approx.)Average New Mortgage (approx.)
British Columbia$380,000$500,000+
Ontario$350,000$470,000
Alberta$260,000$340,000
Quebec$210,000$290,000
Manitoba$190,000$260,000
Saskatchewan$185,000$250,000
Nova Scotia$195,000$280,000
New Brunswick$160,000$230,000
Newfoundland$155,000$220,000
PEI$170,000$250,000

The gap between “average outstanding” and “average new mortgage” reflects that the outstanding stock includes older, smaller mortgages, while new originations reflect current home prices.

Household debt ratios

Debt-to-disposable-income

Canada’s headline household debt ratio:

YearDebt-to-Disposable IncomeContext
2000110%Pre-housing boom
2005130%Housing market accelerating
2010161%Post-GFC, rates at historic lows
2015171%Steady climb
2019176%Pre-pandemic
2021181%Peaked — massive housing activity
2023177%Declined slightly as rate hikes slowed borrowing
2025175%Stabilizing
2026 (est.)175%–180%Depends on rate trajectory and income growth

International comparison

CountryHousehold Debt-to-Disposable Income
Switzerland~210%
Australia~190%
Canada~175%
South Korea~170%
United Kingdom~145%
United States~100%
Germany~85%

Canada ranks among the most indebted households in the developed world. The US deleveraged significantly after the 2008 crisis — Canada did not.

Mortgage debt service ratio

The debt service ratio (DSR) measures the share of household income going to mortgage payments:

PeriodMortgage DSR (% of disposable income)Context
2010–20196.0%–6.5%Low rates kept payments manageable despite growing balances
2020–20215.5%–6.0%Ultra-low rates reduced payment burden
2022–20237.5%–8.5%Rate hikes increased payment burden sharply
2024–20257.0%–7.5%Rate cuts provided some relief
2026 (est.)6.5%–7.0%Continued normalization

Who holds Canadian mortgage debt

By lender type

Lender TypeMarket Share (approx.)Total Mortgage Assets
Big Six banks~75%~$1.6 trillion
Credit unions~12%~$260 billion
Mortgage finance companies~5%~$110 billion
Life insurance companies~3%~$65 billion
Securitized (NHA MBS/CMB)~3%~$65 billion
Private/alternative lenders~2%~$40 billion

By mortgage type

Mortgage TypeShare of New Originations (approx.)
Fixed rate~70%
Variable rate~25%
Hybrid/other~5%

The fixed-rate share surged after the 2022–2023 rate hiking cycle. Variable-rate share was over 55% in 2021 when rates were at historic lows.

By insurance status

StatusShare of Outstanding Mortgages
Insured (CMHC, Sagen, Canada Guaranty)~35%
Uninsured~65%

The uninsured share has grown as rising home prices push more buyers above the insured purchase price cap (now $1.5M).

Mortgage renewal wall

One of the most significant data points for 2025–2027 is the “renewal wall” — the volume of mortgages that were originated at ultra-low rates (2020–2021) now coming up for renewal at much higher rates.

Renewal volume

Renewal YearEstimated VolumeAverage Rate When OriginatedCurrent Renewal RatePayment Increase
2025~$400 billion2.0%–3.0% (5-yr fixed)4.0%–5.0%+25%–40%
2026~$450 billion (peak)1.5%–2.5% (5-yr fixed)3.5%–4.5%+30%–50%
2027~$350 billion2.0%–3.5% (5-yr fixed)3.5%–5.0%+15%–35%

Payment shock example

MortgageOriginal (2021)Renewal (2026)Change
Balance$400,000$360,000 (after 5 years of payments)−$40,000
Rate2.14% (5-yr fixed)4.39% (5-yr fixed)+2.25%
Monthly payment$1,722$1,977+$255/month (+15%)
Annual cost increase+$3,060/year

For borrowers who took variable-rate mortgages in 2021 at ~1.5% and now renew at 4%+, the shock is larger.

Mortgage debt and home equity

While debt levels are high, Canadians also hold significant home equity:

MetricAmount (2026 est.)
Total residential real estate value~$7.5 trillion
Total mortgage debt~$2.18 trillion
Total home equity~$5.3 trillion
Average equity per homeowner~$530,000
Average loan-to-value (outstanding mortgages)~50%

The average Canadian homeowner with a mortgage has substantial equity — the risk is concentrated among recent buyers who purchased at peak prices with minimum down payments.

Equity distribution

Equity LevelShare of Mortgage Holders (est.)
75%+ equity (LTV under 25%)~30% (long-term owners)
50–75% equity (LTV 25–50%)~25%
25–50% equity (LTV 50–75%)~25%
Under 25% equity (LTV 75–95%)~15% (recent buyers)
Negative equity (LTV over 100%)~5% (concentrated in weakest markets)

Risk indicators to watch

IndicatorCurrent LevelRisk ThresholdStatus
Household debt-to-income~175%>200% = elevated systemic riskElevated but stable
Mortgage DSR~6.5–7.0%>10% = severe stressManageable
Mortgage arrears rate~0.20%>0.5% = rising stressVery low
Housing price-to-income ratio~7–8x (national avg)Historical norm: 3–5xSignificantly elevated
Price-to-rent ratio~25–30x (major cities)International norm: 15–20xElevated
Investor share of purchases~25–30%>30% = speculative riskWorth monitoring

Key data sources

SourceWhat It PublishesFrequency
Bank of CanadaTotal household credit, mortgage credit, financial stability reviewMonthly (credit), biannual (FSR)
CMHCMortgage data, housing starts, arrears, HPIMonthly and quarterly
Statistics CanadaNational balance sheet, debt-to-income, wealth surveyQuarterly
OSFIRegulated lender mortgage data, capital adequacyQuarterly
Canadian Bankers AssociationMortgage arrears dataMonthly
CREAHome sales, prices (MLS HPI)Monthly

The bottom line

  1. Canada has $2.18 trillion in mortgage debt — the largest household liability by far
  2. Debt ratios are among the highest globally — ~175% of disposable income
  3. The renewal wall is the near-term risk — $450B+ renewing in 2026 at sharply higher rates
  4. Home equity provides a buffer — $5.3 trillion in equity means most homeowners are not at risk
  5. Risk is concentrated — recent buyers with high LTV in expensive markets face the most pressure
  6. Arrears remain very low — Canadian mortgage borrowers have been remarkably resilient

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