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Niagara Region Housing Market: July 2026 Prices & Data

Updated

The Niagara Region encompasses 12 municipalities along the Niagara Peninsula between Lake Ontario and Lake Erie, with a combined population of approximately 450,000. The region’s major urban centres include St. Catharines (the regional seat, pop. ~136,000), Niagara Falls (pop. ~92,000 in the city; far more including the tourism district), Welland, Fort Erie, Grimsby, Lincoln, and Thorold. Niagara is connected to Hamilton and the Greater Golden Horseshoe by the QEW highway, and offers GO Bus service to Burlington GO and Union Station.

Historically one of Ontario’s most affordable markets, the Niagara Region saw surge pricing in 2021-2022 before correcting back to more accessible levels. July 2026 pricing reflects continued adjustment from that peak, alongside easing inventory.

Key Highlights – July 2026 (Niagara Association of REALTORS® / NAR):

  • Average home price: $662,239 (-0.7% YoY)
  • MLS HPI composite benchmark: $572,200 (-5.5% YoY)
  • Total sales: 609 (-7.4% YoY)
  • New listings: 1,530 (-11% YoY)
  • Active listings: 3,354 (-13.1% YoY)
  • Months of supply: 5.5 (buyer’s market)
  • Ontario LTT applies (no municipal LTT in any Niagara municipality)

Niagara Region Home Prices – July 2026

Home Type Benchmark Price Year-over-Year Change
Composite $572,200 -5.5%
Single-Family $597,200 -5.2%
Townhouse/Row $526,500 -7.2%
Apartment $333,500 -15.5%

The average sale price across all property types was $662,239 in July 2026, down 0.7% from July 2025. The year-to-date average was $646,372 (-5% YoY).


Home Prices by Type — Niagara Region (Approx.)

Home Type Price Range
Detached $550,000–$900,000
Semi-Detached $420,000–$580,000
Townhouse (freehold) $430,000–$580,000
Condo Townhouse $360,000–$480,000
Condo Apartment $290,000–$400,000

Market Metrics – July 2026

Metric Value Year-over-Year Change
Total Sales 609 -7.4%
New Listings 1,530 -11%
Active Listings 3,354 -13.1%
Months of Supply 5.5 -6.8%
Average Price $662,239 -0.7%
YTD Average Price $646,372 -5%
HPI Composite Benchmark $572,200 -5.5%
Dollar Volume $403.3 million -8.1%

With 5.5 months of supply, Niagara remains in buyer’s market territory, though active listings easing 13.1% year-over-year suggests some of the extreme inventory buildup from earlier in 2026 is now unwinding. Sales remain below historical norms, down 7.4% year-over-year.


Income Required to Buy in Niagara Region

Assumptions: 20% down payment, 4.04% mortgage rate, 25-year amortization, GDS ratio of 32%, property tax $354/month, heating $150/month.

Home Type Price Mortgage (80%) Income Required
Regional Average $662,239 $529,791 $147,650
Single-Family (benchmark) $597,200 $477,760 $133,700
Townhouse (benchmark) $526,500 $421,200 $120,300
Apartment (benchmark) $333,500 $266,800 $81,900

Affordability Relative to GTA: With a regional average of $662,239, the Niagara Region represents one of the most affordable options for buyers wanting a full-service community within driving distance of the GTA and Hamilton. Families commuting via QEW to Hamilton (30-45 min) or Burlington (45-60 min) often find a $100k-$200k purchase price advantage versus buying in those markets.

Buyer’s Market Easing Somewhat: With 5.5 months of supply, Niagara remains in buyer’s market territory, though active listings falling 13.1% year-over-year – alongside a smaller 11% decline in new listings – suggests the extreme inventory buildup from 2025 is starting to unwind. Days-on-market remain elevated and price negotiation is common in most sub-markets.

Grimsby / Lincoln Premium: The western end of Niagara Region (Grimsby, Lincoln, Beamsville) trades at a significant premium to the rest of Niagara, driven by proximity to Burlington and Hamilton, lakefront access on Lake Ontario, and the boutique wine country of the Niagara Escarpment. These communities see stronger competition and faster sales.

Tourism Economy (Niagara Falls): Niagara Falls city itself has one of Canada’s most significant hospitality and tourism sectors. The permanent population benefits from a large Airbnb and short-term rental market, particularly for properties near Clifton Hill and the Fallsview District. This creates an active investor sub-market alongside owner-occupier demand.

Wine Country — Niagara-on-the-Lake (Not tabulated above): Niagara-on-the-Lake (NOTL) is a small town at the north tip of the peninsularly with some of Canada’s finest estate wineries and historic heritage streetscapes. Properties here trade at a significant premium — detached from $900k to $2.0M+. NOTL is treated separately from the regional average above.

GO Transit Development: The GO Bus service to Burlington GO is the current transit link, but Metrolinx has studied rail restoration on the CN Grimsby Sub to Niagara Falls. News of expanded transit service could materially support demand in the $500k–$700k range.


Notable Neighbourhoods

St. Catharines — Downtown / Merritton: Urban core with walkable amenities, revitalizing restaurant strip on St. Paul Street. Growing condo development. Heritage-era homes at below-GTA prices. Condos $280k–$400k; detached $450k–$750k.

St. Catharines — Glendale / Vansickle: Western suburban area near Pen Centre, Brock University, and the Welland Canal corridor. Mix of semis and detached. Detached $500k–$750k.

Niagara Falls — Lundy’s Lane / Chippawa: Established residential neighbourhoods away from the hotel strip. Family-oriented. Detached $500k–$750k.

Niagara Falls — Stamford / Willoughby: Southeast Niagara Falls near the QEW. Growing development area, strong school access. Detached $540k–$800k.

Welland: One of the region’s most affordable cities. Situated along the Welland Canal (designated cycling trail). Mixed housing stock from $330k condo to $600k detached.

Fort Erie: Adjacent to the Peace Bridge (Buffalo, NY crossing). Attractive to cross-border commuters and buyers from the US. Affordable detached from $380k–$550k.

Grimsby: One of the fastest-growing towns in the region. Lakefront access on Lake Ontario, strong new subdivision activity, commutable to Hamilton and Burlington. Detached $650k–$900k.

Pelham / Fonthill: One of Niagara’s premium small communities. Agricultural and residential mix, low density, Niagara Escarpment trail access. Premium detached $700k–$1.0M.


Ontario Land Transfer Tax – Niagara

Ontario LTT on a $662,239 home:

Portion Rate Tax
First $55,000 0.5% $275
$55,001-$250,000 1.0% $1,950
$250,001-$400,000 1.5% $2,250
$400,001-$662,239 2.0% $5,245
Total ≈ $9,720

First-time buyers may qualify for the Ontario LTT refund of up to $4,000.

No Niagara municipality levies an additional municipal land transfer tax.



Data Sources

  • Niagara Association of REALTORS® (NAR) / CREA – July 2026
  • Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) – Board Statistics (stca)
  • Data period: July 1-31, 2026
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